Part 6: Current Negotiation Issues and Trends — Shifts among Local Government Revenues

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In the last couple of articles in this series, we discussed the state of local government revenues and their potential impact on negotiations. In this article, we discuss how the differences between the structure of local economies can impact negotiations. We also discuss some significant shifts in revenue distribution that have occurred in recent years, especially since the pandemic.

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Part 5: Current Negotiation Issues and Trends — Local Government Revenue Reports

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In the last article in this series, we briefly discussed the Washington tax system and how it impacts local government revenues. In this article, we will discuss the current revenue situation.

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Part 4: Current Negotiation Issues and Trends — Local Government Budgets

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In the previous articles in this series, we’ve discussed inflation and inflation predictions. We have also discussed expectations for whether there will be a recession and how that might impact the job market. Two other important economic factors to discuss, as they will have some impact on labor contract settlements, are the tax revenues and budgets of local governments.

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Part 3: Current Negotiation Issues and Trends — How Real is the Recession Threat to your Negotiations?

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In the last two articles in this series, we discussed recent and projected CPI. We have described the recent spikes in inflation as well as economist predictions that inflation will start to taper off.

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Part 2: Current Negotiation Issues and Trends — Inflation Predictions

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In the last Newsletter article in this series, we updated you on recent inflation numbers. This included a surprisingly large jump in the inflation reported in June, followed by a modest decline in July. Do the July numbers indicate that we’ve turned a corner? If so, how far can we expect the CPI to drop? That’s the topic that we turn to today.

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Part 1: Current Negotiation Issues and Trends — Latest in CPI

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

Earlier this month we presented a webinar covering recent inflation and contract settlement trends with a focus on what lies ahead for groups currently in negotiations or planning to start them soon. The webinar and transcript are available on our Premium Website. This article is the first of a series on these issues.

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15 Lessons from the Island County Interest Arbitration Decision

By Jim Cline

Every arbitration contains lessons to apply to contract negotiations. Sometimes the lessons involve an extension of standards ways that arbitrators approach issues, and sometimes they involve unique situations or novel arguments on existing issues.

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CPI Continues to Ride High — But with Signs of Moderation

By Jim Cline

The latest CPI report continued to show high inflation numbers, even higher than the previous set. But inside those numbers were signs that the predicted slow down in inflation may lie ahead. The Seattle 12-month through April to April “W” index was reported at an eye-popping 8.1%. The All Cities index was even higher at 8.6%:

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Six-Year Island County Corrections Battle Leads to Guild Winning 19.7% Increase

By Jim Cline

A long-delayed Island County Interest Arbitration has resulted in the Corrections Guild prevailing with a six-year wage award that, with year to year compounding, increased wages by 19.7%. The contract was delayed not just by lengthy arbitration and mediation, but also by a County Unfair Labor Practice that had resulted in canceling a scheduled 2019 hearing date. The Award covers contract years 2017 through 2022.

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Besides the Jump in Inflation, Other Economic and Fiscal Developments Point to Higher Contract Settlements

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In the last two newsletters, we reported on the surprisingly sharp rise in inflation and how that development and the uncertainty in future inflation predictions would have a potentially large impact on wage negotiations.  The jump in inflation suggests rising settlements but other developments likewise support our prediction that settlements for 2022 (and 2023) will be heading up.

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